The effect of explanations on decision quality is conditional, not a main effect, and is often null or negative
Details
Asked unconditionally, do explanations help, this literature answers no. Asked conditionally, specifying model performance, task difficulty, risk and explanation form, it answers yes under stated conditions and no otherwise.
- On the negative side, Alufaisan and colleagues ran the three-arm design with a no-AI control, an AI-only arm and an AI-plus-explanation arm, and found the AI itself carried the benefit while explanations added nothing.
- De Brito Duarte and colleagues found the effect of explanation on trust jointly conditional on system performance and risk level, and only feature importance moved anything, with counterfactuals indistinguishable from no explanation for lay users.
- On the positive side, Vasconcelos and colleagues obtain clear benefits in hard tasks and with salient explanations, and Leichtmann and colleagues find explanations improving accuracy on precisely the items where the classifier erred, while lowering trust in a way they read as better calibration.